After the downturn which took place between December last year and about three weeks ago, Bitcoin prices and the overall crypto spot markets have been recovering slowly. When bitcoin derivative products were introduced into the markets, futures contracts went off to a very slow start. Currently, the BTC-based futures market from the CBOE (Chicago Board Options Exchange) and the CME (Chicago Mercantile Exchange) have seen a substantial increase in product sales during the April and May trading sessions.
Cboe and CME’s BTC Futures Products Begin Seeing Substantial Trade Volume
Online news sources reported in March about BTC-based derivatives products from Chicago Board Options Exchange and Chicago Mercantile Exchange beginning to pick the pace. Chicago Mercantile Exchange had about 1,000 contracts each day at that time, and none sold in May as it were. That month, however, Chicago Board Options Exchange saw a significant influx of volume as expiries closed over 10,000 contracts in March and products were beginning to sell steadily in May. Fast-forward to this week when crypto spot markets are starting to see some recovery signs, BTC futures products have started selling like hotcakes.
Futures Volumes Last Wednesday Were About 3 Times the Daily Volume
Last Wednesday, XBT (CBOE’s BTC futures) hiked in volume with over 18,000 contracts being traded for May. Again, public data indicates that CBOE’s XBT products have already started selling for June and July. However, none have sold for August.
Predictions of the next 3 months reveal stability of prices with contracts hovering around the $8,900- $9, 100 region for every XBT. At present, May’s daily volumes are about 3, 700 contracts and twenty-four-hour statistics have been from 3,000 to 6,000 per day. The over 18,000 products recorded last week beat the Chicago Board Options Exchange’s first milestone of more than 15,000 contracts when the markets first launched. However, this has slowed down significantly since then.
Kevin Davitt, senior instructor at Cboe Options Institute, explained on Thursday that “the ADV (average daily volume) runs around 6,600 in XBT BTC Futures. The volume was nearly 3 times the ADV yesterday.” Davitt proceeds to say that “yesterday recorded the highest daily bitcoin futures volume since their inception here at Chicago Board Options Exchange about five months ago. May futures traded 18, 210 contracts. Across our term structure, up to 19, 000 BTC futures were traded here yesterday. January 17th was our previous high-volume session with about 15, 500 contracts traded.”
The Volumes Recorded Last Week Were Different from the Bitcoin Futures Volumes in January
The same day, Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group recorded a similar spike in BTC futures volumes for the April contracts. On Wednesday, there were more than 11, 000 contracts on Chicago Mercantile Exchange’s BTC markets, public data indicate. Kevin Davitt points out that the volumes in January coincided with the original set of contracts, and that Wednesdays’ volume didn’t. The senior instructor went ahead to explain that again, past Wednesday’s volumes didn’t have a 15% to 20% range in futures he’d otherwise have expected.